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Michael, Minhan and Paul:
Having just completed, with 6 others, preparation of
a proposal for the synthesis phase of the northeast
Pacific GLOBEC program, I can say from first-hand experience
that 'synthesis' means different things to different
people and the scientific community is generally unsure
of what 'synthesis' is. Here are some guidelines for
our symposium.
As George Wong has pointed out, our synthesis cannot
be a cross-system comparison because the talks are not
directly parallel. The science and data for such direct
comparisons probably don¡¯t exist anyway. We do not believe
we should try to achieve a complete descriptive comparison
of the properties and characteristics of our four systems.
Perhaps one of our concluding points should be that
some studies need to be designed to look specifically
at comparing systems. Nevertheless, we do not believe
we can do this for our four systems.
Our synthesis should be focused around the theme of
our symposium: ¡°Coastal ecosystem responses to changing
nutrient inputs from large rivers.¡± As much as possible,
we need:
1) Historical data on nutrient inputs How have inputs
(concentration, nutrient ratios, etc.) changed over
the decades. We could also try to trace why they changed
over these several decades. In addition we need to examine
as much as possible, long-term data sets of what the
ecosystem was like in the beginning and then show how
it has changed.
2) Data on ecosystem responses Responses/impacts could
be pelagic and benthic. Most data will probably be mainly
chemical (nutrients, hypoxia, etc.) and biological (community
structure), and there will be few data available for
higher trophic levels such as fish. For speakers, please
try and determine if such long-term data exist for your
system and bring that information with you, even if
you do not incorporate it into your presentation.
However, such long-term data may not exist and we should
also consider a broader level of synthesis. We must
draw on the presentations and everyone¡¯s wide knowledge
of other systems to answer some broader questions that
are of a synthesis nature. Thus:
3) Which factors/processes control the processing and
fates of nutrients in large river-shelf systems? (from
KK Liu's 1.3 question) Factors include: runoff, tides,
wind mixing, coastal circulation, topography, sediment
(light), nutrient loads, and top down effects. Are there
others? Are the same factors of equal importance in
all systems? Can we prioritize or rank these factors?
Can we develop a universal list of factors/processes
that control the way nutrients are utilized by coastal
systems and how these change with changes in nutrient
inputs?
Sub-questions include:
How do the processes and fates change with nutrient
changes?
How and why do the processes and fates vary among river-shelf
systems?
What are the crucial biological communities that control
the material flow in the river plume-coastal water system?
Broadly: can we identify general rules and is there
enough information to make a generalized model or develop
some universal hypotheses about nutrients and river-coastal
ecosystems?
For discussion leaders, please be aware of this perspective
when thinking about your questions and synthesis. Bring
such data sets with you to the symposium if you have
them, or are aware of them. Also, your goal should be
to put together an outline or framework for a synthesis
paper before the symposium so please continue to circulate
your thoughts among yourselves. KK ¨C is there a chapter
in the book you are preparing that might be especially
relevant to this and, if so, would you be willing to
circulate it to us as background material prior to the
meeting?
These are not necessarily the only issues we should
address in our synthesis efforts but serve as examples
of the approach we need to take. Please continue the
dialog on this difficult issue.
Alan M. Shiller:
Just to add in a couple of thoughts.........
With regard to inputs: An interesting question is how
big is the offshore input of nutrients to these systems.
This, of course, may well vary by system and by season.
However, this flux is very much relevant to the issue
of whether a system needs a small or large increase
in river inputs to change the nutrient dynamics. Additionally,
in stratified coastal systems where there is a flux
of salty water along the shelf bottom, what is the flux
of regerated nutrients off-shelf with the bottom water
and does this flux change with changes in bottom oxygen.
With regard to ecosystem responses: How robust are the
sediment-based proxies that have been utilized to gauge
certain historical changes (e.g., BSi)? How does diagenesis
(and changes in diagenesis due to changes in bottom
oxygen) affect theses sediment-based proxies?
With regard to factors/processes: It might be useful
to ask not only what key factors/processes we don't
understand, but also what new tools would be useful
to bring to bear on these problems.
Michael Dagge:
I am sure you have all noticed that it is common at
meetings for speakers to use Discussion time for part
of their Presentation. I urge you all to avoid this
at the Xiamen symposium, and for each and all to keep
your presentation to 30 min or less so that there can
be a full 15 min question and discussion period following
each presentation. Good luck with your preparations?
Brent McKee:
I have enjoyed reading the abstracts and the comments
that Minhan, George and KK have made-------and I've
been thinking more about Synthesis. I like Mike's last
guidelines and suggestions and propose that we adopt
that as a starting point for all our discussion about
synthesis. That is, the important point of the outline
would be:
(I) Inputs
(II) Ecosystem Response
(III) Controls on Processing and Fates of Nutrients.
George and KK, in particular, have provided more detailed
structure which will help direct talks and discussions.
I'd also like to suggest a few things that in some cases
bring back specifics that were raised earlier and reapplies
them to Mike's outline:
(1) Our first section "Inputs" should include
other parameters in addition to nutrients. Specifically,
sediment and organic matter loading should be included.
As many talk abstracts point out, the interaction between
nutrients, organic matter and lithogenic particles make
each system unique (yet perhaps controlled by similar
mechanisms). I would ask speakers to consider the salient
aspects of river systems that impact the character of
the inputs. For example, lithology, size/elevation/slope
of drainage basin, anthropogenic effects, etc.
(2) George pointed out that the relative weighting among
talks regarding the benthic and pelagic systems differs
greatly. One thing that I would be interested as a discussion
leader is "Is this because of the relative importance
(pelagic vs. benthic) in each system, or does this reflect
the disciplinary focus of those who have historically
worked in each system?" As Mike points out, one
important synthesis item may be that we have undersampled
important aspects of some systems.
(3) As an overlay on the outline above, I would like
to add the element of time. As mentioned by others,
historical time is important when framing the discussion
around the idea of global change. I echo Mike's urging
that we all bring to the symposium what we know about
historical changes in nutrients (concentrations and
ratios) and I would add parameters like sediment and
water discharge, organic carbon trends etc. I would
also add two other aspects of Time that may be important
in a comparative sense. One is the concept of residence
time within various compartments within a river system
(drainage basin, floodplain, plume, seabed (prior to
burial), etc.). Unique aspects of each river system
means that the residence time of materials in each subsytem
will vary from river to river and perhaps the processing
in one compartment will govern the fate of materials
in each system. The second temporal aspect is seasonal
(or shorter) changes. Our understanding about some systems
may be biased by when we have examined them. We should
note any underrepresented/undersampled times of the
year within each system. The concept of net autotrophy/heterotrophy
is defined within a time frame. Do we know enough about
all important sub-annual time periods (re: temperature,
flow, loading etc) to make clear statements about NET
metabolic status on these systems and how that may change?
If not, what do we need to work on?
This should be a very enjoyable symposium and discussion.
I look forward to it!
Paul J. Harrison:
I agree that we should focus on the title/theme of the
symposium and therefore the discussion/synthesis should
focus on these aspects as suggested in the title, which
are:
1) Changing nutrient inputs
We need historical data here. How have inputs (concentration,
nutrient ratios, etc.) changed over the decades. So
this becomes like a multi-decadal experiment of changing
nutrient inputs. We could also try to trace why they
changed over these several decades.
2) Coastal Ecosystem Responses
- Again long term data sets would be ideal to demonstrate
what the ecosystem was like in the beginning and then
show how it has gradually changed.
- The actual ecosystem responses will be mainly chemical
(nutrients, hypoxia, etc.) and biological (community
structure, but here will be few data available for higher
trophic levels such as fish.).
- Responses/impacts could be pelagic and benthic, however
we have no benthic data for the Pearl River that I know
of. So there will be some focus on the pelagic responses
and food webs.
3) Why are the responses different in different river
systems?
- This probably involves the physics of the estuary,
topography, sediment load, etc.
I expect that most speakers have not prepared their
talks yet If we could give them suggestions of key aspects
and key data to include in their talk, this would help
our final comparisons.
We should also ask them to bring data besides what they
are going to present. This could amplify the discussion
sections.
Let's discuss the above aspects before you send out
your 'guidance notes' for the speakers and synthesizers.
Michael Dagge:
Below is a draft of a memo I would like to distribute
to the discussion leaders, to give them some guidance.
Can you look it over and let me know if you agree with
it, or modify it if you don't. Thanks |
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